G1
GROUP 1 AUTOMOTIVE INC (GPI)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered record revenue ($5.70B) and gross profit ($935.8M), with adjusted diluted EPS of $11.52 up 17.5% year over year, driven by strong Parts & Service and continued F&I discipline .
- EPS and revenue both beat Wall Street consensus; adjusted EPS beat by ~10.3% (actual $11.52 vs $10.45), and revenue beat by ~$34M (actual $5.7035B vs $5.6689B); EBITDA also exceeded expectations by ~$37.6M* [GetEstimates].
- U.S. operations showed broad-based strength (P&S GP +13.1%, F&I PRU +4.4% YoY), while the U.K. remained challenged by BEV mandate-related margin pressures and higher wage/insurance costs; UK SG&A/GP elevated in Q2 but expected to ease in Q3 due to seasonality .
- Corporate actions: three U.S. luxury acquisitions (expected $330M annual revenue), continued portfolio optimization, $44.5M buybacks in Q2, and dividend of $0.50 per share; $308.8M remains on repurchase authorization .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Parts & Service strength: consolidated P&S gross profit rose to $402.8M (+27.1% YoY) with margins +90 bps; same-store P&S GP $355.1M (+14.0% YoY). Management highlighted double-digit customer pay growth and warranty tailwinds in both markets .
- F&I execution: consolidated F&I revenue reached $237.8M (+18.8% YoY); U.S. F&I PRU rose to $2,465 (+$104 YoY), with CFO lauding discipline and penetration improvements .
- Acquisitions and strategic footprint: added Lexus, Acura (Fort Myers) and Mercedes-Benz (Austin), with ~$330M annual revenue expected; CEO: “We will continue to be acquisitive…but very disciplined in valuing acquisitions” .
What Went Wrong
- SG&A leverage: consolidated SG&A/GP increased to 69.0% (+418 bps YoY); adjusted SG&A/GP to 68.7% (+237 bps), reflecting integration and cost inflation, especially in the U.K. .
- U.K. margin pressures: BEV mandate-related mix and government-imposed wage/insurance increases lifted UK SG&A/GP to 84.3%, with $7.6M restructuring charges in Q2 .
- Used retail GPUs modestly lower: consolidated used retail GP per unit fell to $1,600 (-2.3% YoY), though U.S. same-store PRU improved and UK wholesale losses narrowed materially .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown (Q2 2025):
KPIs (consolidated):
Estimates vs Actual (Q2 2025):
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Guidance Changes
No formal quantitative company-wide revenue/EPS guidance was provided for Q3/Q4.
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We were pleased with our growth…Parts and service was a bright spot…F&I was also a good story…we closed on three outstanding dealerships in the U.S.” .
- CEO on U.K.: “The U.K. market continues to be challenging…with BEV mandate-related margin pressures…positive momentum anticipated in the second half of the year” .
- CFO: “U.S. adjusted SG&A as a percent of gross profit decreased…we are seeing the benefits of refocusing on operational efficiency” .
- CEO on AI: “We are making investments in technology…Artificial intelligence has the capability to improve our business…We are testing some very exciting things” .
- CFO on U.K. costs: “Effective April 2025…the UK government increased the national minimum wage and national insurance…~$4M additional costs in Q2; UK SG&A/GP 84.3%” .
Q&A Highlights
- New car GPUs: Held fairly strong across April–June with no specific spike; resilience expected as OEMs manage day-supply .
- U.K. cost actions: Headcount reductions (~800) and closures near overlapping locations; aim to reduce SG&A while preserving customer-facing roles .
- F&I and used performance: Continued strong F&I PRU; used GPUs stable with acquisition excellence; U.S. used 31-day supply .
- Warranty vs Customer Pay: Warranty elevated cannot be fully offset by CP if it normalizes, but capacity and CP growth remain opportunities .
- BEV mandates impact (UK): Corporate fleet mix dilutes retail margins; ongoing headwind to gross .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 adjusted EPS of $11.52 beat consensus $10.45*, potentially prompting upward revisions to FY EPS run-rate assumptions given P&S momentum and F&I strength *.
- Revenue of $5.7035B beat by ~$34.6M*, with EBITDA of ~$289.8M vs ~$252.3M*, reflecting mix and operational efficiencies*.
- Q1 2025 and Q2 2024 also showed beats vs consensus on revenue/EPS, supporting an estimate revision trend*.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Strength in P&S and disciplined F&I are offsetting modest GPU compression, supporting near-term EPS resilience; watch for normalization in warranty tailwinds into H2 .
- U.K. margin headwinds persist, but seasonal Q3 plate-change and ongoing cost actions should improve SG&A leverage; monitor wage/insurance and BEV mix impacts .
- Capital allocation remains accretive—$330M revenue acquisitions, opportunistic buybacks ($44.5M in Q2) and $308.8M authorization remaining—providing downside support .
- Tariff dynamics likely push OEMs to adjust content/pricing; GPI expects GPU resilience and is prioritizing nimble operations—potentially a catalyst if day-supply tightens .
- Technician capacity, shop A/C investments, and first-party data/branding initiatives are medium-term drivers of aftersales throughput and loyalty .
- Near-term trading: bias positive on P&S/F&I momentum and consensus beats; risk skew from U.K. margin pressure and macro tariff outcomes.
- Medium-term thesis: scale, productivity, and local-market strategy with technology enablement should sustain cash generation for continued M&A and buybacks.